Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000758 0.000866 0.000980 0.001110 0.001253 0.001405 0.001579
2025-01-12 0.000576 0.000723 0.000891 0.001094 0.001331 0.001598 0.001919
2025-01-19 0.000474 0.000636 0.000829 0.001073 0.001370 0.001716 0.002147
2025-01-26 0.000417 0.000593 0.000811 0.001096 0.001455 0.001885 0.002433
2025-02-02 0.000371 0.000556 0.000793 0.001114 0.001529 0.002037 0.002701
2025-02-09 0.000320 0.000505 0.000752 0.001096 0.001552 0.002125 0.002887
2025-02-16 0.000277 0.000459 0.000712 0.001074 0.001566 0.002198 0.003053
2025-02-23 0.000251 0.000435 0.000699 0.001086 0.001624 0.002327 0.003293
2025-03-02 0.000227 0.000412 0.000684 0.001093 0.001674 0.002444 0.003518
2025-03-09 0.000196 0.000374 0.000645 0.001064 0.001670 0.002488 0.003646
2025-03-16 0.000169 0.000340 0.000608 0.001033 0.001661 0.002524 0.003764
2025-03-23 0.000152 0.000320 0.000591 0.001031 0.001693 0.002615 0.003954
2025-03-30 0.000137 0.000301 0.000575 0.001030 0.001726 0.002710 0.004157
2025-04-06 0.000121 0.000280 0.000553 0.001017 0.001741 0.002780 0.004325
2025-04-13 0.000106 0.000257 0.000527 0.000997 0.001744 0.002830 0.004466
2025-04-20 0.000099 0.000251 0.000528 0.001019 0.001810 0.002974 0.004742
2025-04-27 0.000092 0.000243 0.000526 0.001036 0.001870 0.003109 0.005007
2025-05-04 0.000081 0.000225 0.000504 0.001019 0.001874 0.003161 0.005153
2025-05-11 0.000071 0.000208 0.000481 0.000998 0.001871 0.003202 0.005283
2025-05-18 0.000065 0.000201 0.000478 0.001010 0.001921 0.003323 0.005532
2025-05-25 0.000060 0.000193 0.000471 0.001016 0.001962 0.003431 0.005765
2025-06-01 0.000051 0.000176 0.000446 0.000988 0.001944 0.003448 0.005860
2025-06-08 0.000044 0.000160 0.000422 0.000959 0.001923 0.003459 0.005945